Politics in Iowa Blog
By Christopher W. Larimer, University of Northern Iowa Professor of Political Science
Can “Mayor Pete” hold on?
Another week, another twist in the polls. For the first time in a poll of likely Iowa caucus-goers, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (22 percent) is leading all candidates according to the
Can “Mayor Pete” hold on?
Another week, another twist in the polls. For the first time in a poll of likely Iowa caucus-goers, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (22 percent) is leading all candidates according to the latest Monmouth University Poll.
Iowa is still competitive!
As Lou Jacobson’s latest column in “Sabato’s Crystal Ball” shows, the approval rating of governors exceeds that of the president in 47 states.
On the need to “move thickly”
My mother likes to tell the story of her dramatic rescue of a monarch butterfly earlier this summer. While working in the yard she noticed the butterfly lying lifelessly on its side in the shade.
Pay attention to those young caucus-goers!
A new New York Times/Siena College poll suggests that a once two-tiered race is perhaps shaping into a one tier/four person race to win the Iowa Caucuses.
Fear and loathing in Washington, D.C.
If the 2020 presidential election turns into an election centered around fear, what should we expect?
Will the “trade war” hurt the president’s chances for reelection among rural voters?
I’ve heard this question a lot lately. It certainly has merit as economic self-interest is often seen as a key factor in predicting vote choice and could be a clue as to whether the president is in trouble in rural states like Iowa.
Hoping for third
A lot of attention has been given to the recent Des Moines Register Iowa Poll in which Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden are in a statistical tie for first among likely Democratic caucus-goers at 22 and 20 percent, respectively.
How to think about the “impeachment inquiry”
Before you decide to speculate on the recently announced impeachment inquiry, consider the following quote from Philip Tetlock in his book, Expert Political Judgment…
STORMTRACK 7 FORECAST
TRACKING: Slightly warmer weather
Quiet weather tonight continues into Saturday.
